COVID-19 Data Analysis

Tasso di letalità

Tasso di letalità istantaneo ponderato (wiCFR) per COVID-19 in Italia.

Max Pierini, Alessio Pamovio, Sandra Mazzoli

Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is usually estimated as total death over total cases. This estimate though does not take into account likely dynamic variations of fatality along the time line. Is here presented a dynamic estimation of instant case fatality rate based upon onset-to-death interval: weighted instant Case Fatality Rate (wiCFR).

METODO (preprint):

Massimo Pierini, Sandra Mazzoli, & Alessio Pamovio. (2020, November 3). Estimation of weighted instant Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19 in Italy. Zenodo. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4235485

Grezzo

Filtrato

OUTLIERS in col median (0< or >0.5)
========================================
              median        Q1        Q3        lo        hi
date                                                        
2020-06-24 -0.097484 -0.147619 -0.078086 -0.190184 -0.038130
2020-08-15  0.619608  0.516340  0.818653  0.286232  1.224806

Impute function `mean`, window 7
========================================
              median        Q1        Q3        lo        hi
date                                                        
2020-06-24  0.065129  0.036507  0.093421  0.004055  0.150556
2020-08-15  0.107225  0.089046  0.141138  0.051793  0.211517

Mediana settimanale

Confronto con cumulativo

CFRcum % wiCFR %
date
2021-04-23 3.015954 1.985947
2021-04-24 3.013558 1.897019
2021-04-25 3.009029 1.342157
2021-04-26 3.010213 1.861702
2021-04-27 3.011720 2.329357
2021-04-28 3.010243 2.157687
2021-04-29 3.006679 1.806435
2021-04-30 3.003167 1.670265
2021-05-01 2.999120 1.470397
2021-05-02 2.995899 0.936890
2021-05-03 2.997822 1.734300
2021-05-04 2.998605 2.129888
2021-05-05 2.997371 1.928633
2021-05-06 2.995029 1.863623

Mediana mensile

© 2020 Max Pierini. Thanks to Sandra Mazzoli & Alessio Pamovio

Exported from Italia/wiCFR.ipynb committed by maxdevblock on Thu May 6 17:56:57 2021 revision 241, 8d4bca97