COVID-19 Data Analysis

Tasso di letalità

Tasso di letalità istantaneo ponderato (wiCFR) per COVID-19 in Italia.

Max Pierini, Alessio Pamovio, Sandra Mazzoli

Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is usually estimated as total death over total cases. This estimate though does not take into account likely dynamic variations of fatality along the time line. Is here presented a dynamic estimation of instant case fatality rate based upon onset-to-death interval: weighted instant Case Fatality Rate (wiCFR).

METODO (preprint):

Massimo Pierini, Sandra Mazzoli, & Alessio Pamovio. (2020, November 3). Estimation of weighted instant Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19 in Italy. Zenodo. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4235485

Grezzo

Filtrato

OUTLIERS in col median (0< or >0.5)
========================================
              median        Q1        Q3        lo        hi
date                                                        
2020-06-24 -0.097484 -0.147619 -0.078086 -0.190184 -0.038130
2020-08-15  0.619608  0.516340  0.818653  0.286232  1.224806

Impute function `mean`, window 7
========================================
              median        Q1        Q3        lo        hi
date                                                        
2020-06-24  0.065129  0.036507  0.093421  0.004055  0.150556
2020-08-15  0.107225  0.089046  0.141138  0.051793  0.211517

Mediana settimanale

Confronto con cumulativo

CFRcum % wiCFR %
date
2021-07-12 2.991178 1.475596
2021-07-13 2.990575 2.270148
2021-07-14 2.989607 2.610670
2021-07-15 2.988089 1.021566
2021-07-16 2.986326 1.248581
2021-07-17 2.984456 1.473923
2021-07-18 2.982350 0.340136
2021-07-19 2.981074 0.788288
2021-07-20 2.978838 1.102536
2021-07-21 2.976378 2.315325
2021-07-22 2.973229 1.618123
2021-07-23 2.970075 1.824034
2021-07-24 2.966652 0.525762
2021-07-25 2.963556 0.693069

Mediana mensile

© 2020 Max Pierini. Thanks to Sandra Mazzoli & Alessio Pamovio. ipynb-website © 2017 Peter Carbonetto & Gao Wang

Exported from Italia/wiCFR.ipynb committed by maxdevblock on Sun Jul 25 15:25:38 2021 revision 326, a3bb3d74