COVID-19 Data Analysis

Tasso di letalità

Tasso di letalità istantaneo ponderato (wiCFR) per COVID-19 in Italia.

Max Pierini, Alessio Pamovio, Sandra Mazzoli

Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is usually estimated as total death over total cases. This estimate though does not take into account likely dynamic variations of fatality along the time line. Is here presented a dynamic estimation of instant case fatality rate based upon onset-to-death interval: weighted instant Case Fatality Rate (wiCFR).

METODO (preprint):

Massimo Pierini, Sandra Mazzoli, & Alessio Pamovio. (2020, November 3). Estimation of weighted instant Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19 in Italy. Zenodo. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4235485

Grezzo

Filtrato

OUTLIERS in col median (0< or >0.5)
========================================
              median        Q1        Q3        lo        hi
date                                                        
2020-06-24 -0.097484 -0.147619 -0.078086 -0.190184 -0.038130
2020-08-15  0.619608  0.516340  0.818653  0.286232  1.224806

Impute function `mean`, window 7
========================================
              median        Q1        Q3        lo        hi
date                                                        
2020-06-24  0.065129  0.036507  0.093421  0.004055  0.150556
2020-08-15  0.107225  0.088993  0.141138  0.051793  0.211517

Mediana settimanale

Confronto con cumulativo

CFRcum % wiCFR %
date
2021-02-12 3.449566 2.370415
2021-02-13 3.443830 2.332908
2021-02-14 3.437956 1.675639
2021-02-15 3.438158 1.956176
2021-02-16 3.437411 2.547578
2021-02-17 3.435748 2.797786
2021-02-18 3.431026 2.593070
2021-02-19 3.424633 2.676473
2021-02-20 3.415342 1.937326
2021-02-21 3.407249 1.790676
2021-02-22 3.405345 2.114850
2021-02-23 3.401924 2.747762
2021-02-24 3.393499 2.454461
2021-02-25 3.380729 2.377277

Mediana mensile

© 2020 Max Pierini. Thanks to Sandra Mazzoli & Alessio Pamovio

Exported from Italia/wiCFR.ipynb committed by maxdevblock on Thu Feb 25 19:12:12 2021 revision 153, 21b087a